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Is The Housing Market Finally Cooling Off?

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After years of red-hot growth, the U.S. housing market is finally cooling off – not collapsing, but simmering down. 

New data shows there are now 117,000 new single-family homes sitting on the market across the country – the highest level since July 2009. That’s a 31% increase from a year ago.

The slowdown isn’t uniform. Some regions are feeling the shift more than others:

  • Texas: Active listings are 53% above historical norms.
  • Florida: Tampa and Jacksonville are leading the country in price reductions.
  • California: The Bay Area just recorded its weakest March for pending home sales since 2012.

Even the luxury sector is pulling back. Sales of high-end homes dropped 10% year-over-year in April, despite many of these transactions being cash purchases.

That said, prices haven’t plunged – yet. In fact, home values in the 20 largest metro areas dipped just 0.12% in March, marking the first monthly decline after 15 consecutive monthly gains. It’s a small move, but a telling one.

So why does this matter?

Housing isn’t just a byproduct of the broader economy – it’s often an early indicator. Real estate reacts quickly to economic shifts, making it a key signal for trends in consumer confidence, employment, and spending. When homebuyers grow cautious, that mindset often spreads into other areas of the economy. 

What happens next remains uncertain. Mortgage rates, inflation pressures, and employment trends all continue to shape the landscape. 

For now, it’s a moment to pause and reassess. Whether you’re buying, selling, or simply evaluating real estate as part of your broader financial plan, staying informed – and flexible – is key.

Bautis Financial LLC is a registered investment advisor. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial advisor and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.


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